2024 has been a disastrous year for the Iranian regime. Israel has successfully weakened Hamas and Hezbollah in Gaza and Lebanon, and key assassinations have taken out top Revolutionary Guards commanders and Hamas leaders. To make matters worse, President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian died in a helicopter crash, throwing succession plans into chaos.
Syria's President Bashar al-Assad is now in exile in Moscow after his regime collapsed, leaving Iran's proxy network in shambles. The only remaining strong proxy is the Yemeni Houthis. Billions of dollars in oil revenue have been lost, which could exacerbate domestic discontent with the regime.
Despite these setbacks, Iran still has ties with Sunni militants like Hamas and the Taliban, and may try to strengthen these relationships to counter Israel and the West. However, with the possibility of Donald Trump returning to office in the US, Iran may face even more pressure and sanctions, leading to a potentially explosive situation in the region.
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